Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.002241 0.002402 0.002570 0.002757 0.002961 0.003177 0.003423
2024-12-15 0.002018 0.002245 0.002491 0.002779 0.003109 0.003474 0.003912
2024-12-22 0.001855 0.002126 0.002430 0.002801 0.003240 0.003749 0.004385
2024-12-29 0.001707 0.002004 0.002349 0.002781 0.003311 0.003947 0.004772
2025-01-05 0.001590 0.001906 0.002282 0.002767 0.003380 0.004137 0.005155
2025-01-12 0.001473 0.001798 0.002192 0.002713 0.003388 0.004246 0.005434
2025-01-19 0.001387 0.001720 0.002133 0.002690 0.003430 0.004394 0.005769
2025-01-26 0.001275 0.001602 0.002015 0.002581 0.003349 0.004371 0.005863
2025-02-02 0.001247 0.001591 0.002032 0.002649 0.003505 0.004673 0.006427
2025-02-09 0.001213 0.001568 0.002032 0.002692 0.003627 0.004933 0.006945
2025-02-16 0.001208 0.001584 0.002083 0.002807 0.003855 0.005354 0.007729
2025-02-23 0.001162 0.001541 0.002051 0.002803 0.003910 0.005525 0.008145
2025-03-02 0.001107 0.001486 0.002005 0.002784 0.003954 0.005700 0.008609
2025-03-09 0.001056 0.001436 0.001962 0.002767 0.004001 0.005883 0.009106
2025-03-16 0.001015 0.001397 0.001935 0.002770 0.004077 0.006119 0.009709
2025-03-23 0.000969 0.001348 0.001889 0.002743 0.004104 0.006274 0.010188
2025-03-30 0.000929 0.001306 0.001852 0.002726 0.004144 0.006453 0.010723
2025-04-06 0.000882 0.001252 0.001793 0.002671 0.004119 0.006519 0.011061
2025-04-13 0.000847 0.001213 0.001755 0.002648 0.004144 0.006672 0.011567
2025-04-20 0.000794 0.001144 0.001669 0.002541 0.004020 0.006557 0.011558
2025-04-27 0.000785 0.001144 0.001688 0.002608 0.004196 0.006982 0.012630
2025-05-04 0.000772 0.001135 0.001693 0.002650 0.004332 0.007344 0.013612
2025-05-11 0.000774 0.001151 0.001739 0.002763 0.004600 0.007970 0.015201